Wednesday, July 17, 2013

Could significant federal criminal justice reforms become more likely if the GOP wins Senate in 2014?

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Source: sentencing.typepad.com --- Tuesday, July 16, 2013
The question in the title of this post was my first thought after seeing this post by Nate Silver at his 538 blog headlined "Senate Control in 2014 Increasingly Looks Like a Tossup." I am not counting any Senate chickens at least until this time next summer, but I also do not think it is crazy for folks who favor significant federal sentencing reforms to actually believe such reforms might actually become more politically viable if the Senate were to change political hands while Barack Obama is still the President. A lot would depend, of course, on the circumstances and results of the 2014 election cycle and especially on who would play leadership roles in a GOP-led Senate. But if, for example, Senator Rand Paul and other libertarian-leaning Senator were to become chairs of key Senate Judiciary subcommittees, I think the odds of significant federal criminal justice reforms getting through Congress might actually go up. I fear that some commentors will ask what I am smoking when raising this notion, and I do fear that this post may be just some serious wishful thinking on my part. But, hey, if folks are going to start predicting election outcomes for 2014, why not have some fun speculating on what those outcomes could mean for sentencing law and policy? Some recent and older related posts: When and how will state GOP leaders start cutting expensive criminal justice programming? (post from Nov 2010 right after elections predicting ...

Source: http://sentencing.typepad.com/sentencing_law_and_policy/2013/07/could-significant-federal-criminal-justice-reforms-become-more-likely-if-the-gop-wins-senate-in-2014.html

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